Player Predictions for Week 9
Player insights at quarterback, pass catcher and running back, based on Inside Edge's Reasons model, with the statistical evidence behind each Over or Under. See how last week's predictions did →
Quarterbacks

Caleb Williams CHI · QB · vs TB
Over 21.5 Pass CompletionsCaleb Williams has beat the Over for pass completions in each of his last 3 games and is averaging 25.3 pass completions per game over that span. He is averaging 22.4 per game this season.

Trevor Lawrence JAX · QB · vs BAL
Over 1.5 Passing TDsTrevor Lawrence has thrown Over 1.5 passing TDs in each of his last 3 games and is averaging 3.0 passing TDs per game over that span. He has beat the Over in 5 of 7 games (71%) this season.

C.J. Stroud HOU · QB · vs LAC
Under 248.5 Passing YardsThe Chargers have allowed Over 248.5 passing yards in just 3 of 7 games (43%) this season and have allowed 184.0 passing yards per game over their last 3. On the other side, C.J. Stroud has beat the Over for passing yards in 5 of 7 games (71%) and is averaging 266.7 per game.

Bo Nix DEN · QB · vs CAR
Under 20.5 Pass CompletionsBo Nix has beat the Over for pass completions in just 2 of 8 games (25%) this season and in none of his last 3. He is averaging 17.3 pass completions per game over that span.

Drake Maye NE · QB · vs GB
Over 20.5 Pass CompletionsThe Packers have allowed 26.3 pass completions per game over their last 3 games and 24.2 over their last 5. Drake Maye is averaging 21.2 pass completions per game over his last 5 games.
Pass Catchers

Brenton Strange JAX · TE · vs BAL
Over 3.5 ReceptionsBrenton Strange is averaging 4.7 receptions per game over his last 3 games and has been targeted 5 or more times in 4 of his last 5. He has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.

Tucker Kraft GB · TE · vs NE
Over 4.5 ReceptionsTucker Kraft has been targeted 6 or more times in each of his last 5 games and is averaging 5.2 receptions per game over that span. He has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.

Nico Collins HOU · WR · vs LAC
Under 5.5 ReceptionsNico Collins is averaging just 3.3 receptions per game over his last 3 games and 4.8 over his last 5. He has beat the Over for receptions in 2 of 5 games (40%) this season.

Drake London ATL · WR · vs CIN
Under 78.5 Receiving YardsThe Bengals have allowed Over 78.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in just 1 of 7 games (14%) this season. Drake London has not recorded Over 78.5 receiving yards in any of his last 3 games and has done so in just 38% (3/8) of games this season.

Courtland Sutton DEN · WR · vs CAR
Under 3.5 ReceptionsCourtland Sutton has beat the Over for receptions in just 1 of 8 games (13%) this season. He is averaging 3.0 receptions per game over his last 3 games and 2.4 over his last 5.
Running Backs

Chris Rodriguez JAX · RB · vs BAL
Over 30.5 Rushing YardsThe Ravens have allowed Over 30.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in each of their last 5 games and in 7 of 8 games (88%) this season. Chris Rodriguez has rushed for Over 30.5 yards in 4 of his last 5 games.

Bucky Irving TB · RB · vs CHI
Under 63.5 Rushing YardsThe Bears have not allowed Over 63.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in any of their last 5 games and have done so in just 2 of 8 games (25%) this season. On the other side, Bucky Irving is averaging 109.6 rushing yards per game over his last 5.

Josh Jacobs GB · RB · vs NE
Under 43.5 Rushing YardsJosh Jacobs has rushed for Over 43.5 yards in just 1 of his last 5 games and is averaging 33.8 rushing yards per game over that span. On the other side, the Patriots have allowed Over 43.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 6 of 8 games (75%) this season.

Kimani Vidal LAC · RB · vs HOU
Under 25.5 Rushing YardsKimani Vidal has rushed for Over 25.5 yards in just 1 of his last 5 games and in just 17% (1/6) of games this season. He is averaging 22.0 rushing yards per game.

Chase Brown CIN · RB · vs ATL
Over 3.5 ReceptionsChase Brown has been targeted 5 or more times in each of his last 3 games and is averaging 5.0 receptions per game over that span. He has beat the Over for receptions in 4 of 7 games (57%) this season.
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Frequently Asked Questions
How are these Week 9 player predictions selected?
Each insight is generated from Inside Edge's proprietary Reasons model, which compares a player's recent and season-long production with what the opponent has allowed. The model scores every available player prop and surfaces the strongest statistical signals pointing to an Over or an Under.
Which games are covered?
The 15 insights come from six of this week's games: Thursday's Jaguars at Ravens, and Sunday's Bengals at Falcons, Texans at Chargers, Broncos at Panthers and Packers at Patriots, plus Sunday night's Buccaneers at Bears. Not every game has lines posted for every player.
Where do the lines come from?
Lines are the sportsbook consensus as of Nov. 3, 2026. Lines move during the week, so check the current number before relying on one.
Are these betting recommendations?
No. They are statistical observations meant to inform fans, fantasy players and sports bettors. They are not guarantees or advice, and past performance does not predict future results. Injuries, game script and other factors are not captured in season-to-date statistics.
How did last week's player predictions do?
Nine of the 15 Week 8 insights finished on the right side of their lines. The full breakdown, hit or miss for every player, is on the Week 8 Prediction Results page.
This page presents descriptive statistical analysis for informational purposes only. It is not betting advice and does not guarantee any outcome. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact the National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700. Data source: Remarkable™, Inside Edge's proprietary sports data engine.