Player Predictions for Week 10

By Inside Edge Editorial · Lines: sportsbook consensus as of Nov. 10, 2026 · Updated weekly with fresh insights and reasoning

Player insights at quarterback, pass catcher and running back, based on Inside Edge's Reasons model, with the statistical evidence behind each Over or Under. See how last week's predictions did →

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers PIT · QB · vs CIN

Over 21.5 Pass Completions

Aaron Rodgers has beat the Over for pass completions in 5 of 8 games (63%) this season and is averaging 21.7 pass completions per game over his last 3. The Bengals have allowed 23.0 pass completions per game over their last 3 games.

Drake Maye NE · QB · vs DET

Over 1.5 Passing TDs

Drake Maye has thrown Over 1.5 passing TDs in each of his last 6 games and is averaging 2.3 passing TDs per game over his last 3. The Lions have allowed 2.3 passing touchdowns per game this season.

Tyler Shough NO · QB · vs CAR

Under 250.5 Passing Yards

The Panthers have allowed Over 250.5 passing yards in just 3 of 8 games (38%) this season and have allowed 196.3 passing yards per game over their last 3. On the other side, Tyler Shough has beat the Over for passing yards in 6 of 8 games (75%) this season.

Jayden Daniels WAS · QB · vs NYG

Under 202.5 Passing Yards

The Giants have not allowed Over 202.5 passing yards in any of their last 5 games and have allowed 155.3 passing yards per game over their last 3. On the other side, Jayden Daniels is averaging 263.7 passing yards per game over his last 3 games.

Drew Lock SEA · QB · vs LV

Under 1.5 Passing TDs

Drew Lock has thrown Over 1.5 passing TDs in just 1 of his last 5 games and is averaging 1.0 passing TDs per game over that span. On the other side, the Raiders have allowed 2.2 passing touchdowns per game this season.

Pass Catchers

Malik Nabers NYG · WR · vs WAS

Over 5.5 Receptions

Malik Nabers has been targeted 7 or more times in each of his last 5 games and is averaging 8.2 receptions per game over that span. The Commanders have allowed Over 5.5 receptions to an opposing WR in 5 of 8 games (63%) this season.

Brock Bowers LV · TE · vs SEA

Over 5.5 Receptions

Brock Bowers has been targeted 7 or more times in every game (7 games) this season and is averaging 6.9 receptions per game. On the other side, the Seahawks have allowed Over 5.5 receptions to an opposing TE in just 3 of 9 games (33%) this season.

Justin Jefferson MIN · WR · vs GB

Under 77.5 Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson has been Under 77.5 receiving yards in each of his last 3 games and has recorded Over 77.5 in just 29% (2/7) of games this season. The Packers have allowed Over 77.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in just 4 of 9 games (44%) this season.

Tetairoa McMillan CAR · WR · vs NO

Over 5.0 Receptions

Tetairoa McMillan has been targeted 6 or more times in every game (8 games) this season and is averaging 6.8 receptions per game over his last 5. The Saints have allowed Over 5.0 receptions to an opposing WR in 6 of 8 games (75%) this season.

Ja'Marr Chase CIN · WR · vs PIT

Under 91.5 Receiving Yards

The Steelers have not allowed Over 91.5 receiving yards to an opposing WR in any of their last 5 games and have allowed it in just 2 of 8 games (25%) this season. Ja'Marr Chase has recorded Over 91.5 receiving yards in just 38% (3/8) of games this season.

Running Backs

Cam Skattebo NYG · RB · vs WAS

Over 50.5 Rushing Yards

Cam Skattebo has rushed for Over 50.5 yards in each of his last 4 games and is averaging 80.3 rushing yards per game over his last 3. The Commanders have allowed Over 50.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 5 of 8 games (63%) this season.

Kaelon Black SF · RB · vs DAL

Over 33.5 Rushing Yards

Kaelon Black has rushed for Over 33.5 yards in each of his last 3 games and is averaging 55.7 rushing yards per game over that span. The Cowboys have allowed Over 33.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 7 of 9 games (78%) this season.

Rico Dowdle PIT · RB · vs CIN

Over 31.5 Rushing Yards

Rico Dowdle has rushed for Over 31.5 yards in each of his last 3 games and is averaging 45.7 rushing yards per game over that span. The Bengals have allowed Over 31.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 7 of 8 games (88%) this season.

Ashton Jeanty LV · RB · vs SEA

Under 33.5 Rushing Yards

Ashton Jeanty has been Under 33.5 rushing yards in each of his last 5 games and is averaging 16.3 rushing yards per game over his last 3. On the other side, the Seahawks have allowed Over 33.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in 8 of 9 games (89%) this season.

Corey Kiner NE · RB · vs DET

Under 51.5 Rushing Yards

Corey Kiner has rushed for Over 51.5 yards in just 38% (3/8) of games this season and is averaging 35.3 rushing yards per game over his last 3. The Lions have allowed Over 51.5 rushing yards to an opposing RB in just 3 of 8 games (38%) this season.

Frequently Asked Questions

How are these Week 10 player predictions selected?

Each insight is generated from Inside Edge's proprietary Reasons model, which compares a player's recent and season-long production with what the opponent has allowed. The model scores every available player prop and surfaces the strongest statistical signals pointing to an Over or an Under.

Which games are covered?

The 15 insights come from seven of this week's games: Thursday's Commanders at Giants, and Sunday's Patriots at Lions (played in Munich), Panthers at Saints, Vikings at Packers, Seahawks at Raiders and 49ers at Cowboys, plus Sunday night's Steelers at Bengals. Not every game has lines posted for every player.

Where do the lines come from?

Lines are the sportsbook consensus as of Nov. 10, 2026. Lines move during the week, so check the current number before relying on one.

Are these betting recommendations?

No. They are statistical observations meant to inform fans, fantasy players and sports bettors. They are not guarantees or advice, and past performance does not predict future results. Injuries, game script and other factors are not captured in season-to-date statistics.

How did last week's player predictions do?

Five of the 15 Week 9 insights finished on the right side of their lines. The full breakdown, hit or miss for every player, is on the Week 9 Prediction Results page.

This page presents descriptive statistical analysis for informational purposes only. It is not betting advice and does not guarantee any outcome. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact the National Council on Problem Gambling at 1-800-522-4700. Data source: Remarkable™, Inside Edge's proprietary sports data engine.